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4

Conditional on New START being extended, how many warheads will US and Russia hold by 2028?

Nathan Young14 Comments6 months ago

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2

Will the earth be demolished to make way for a new hyperspace bypass by 2030?

Joe Reeve5 Comments7 months ago

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2

AI cook in arbitrary kitchen

Nathan Young1 Comments6 months ago

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1

Presidential pairs

Nathan Young27 Comments6 months ago

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1

Will the amount of brownfield sites built on in London increase by more than 1pp before the next election?

AaronL3 Comments6 months ago

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1

Will crime fall in the UK before the next election?

AaronL12 Comments6 months ago

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1

Will a fracking plant begin operation in the UK before the next general election

Jonathan Nankivell3 Comments6 months ago

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1

Will the UK declare an "electricity supply emergency" before the next general election?

Jonathan Nankivell8 Comments6 months ago

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1

Will the UK Government average over £50billion per year capping energy prices?

Jonathan Nankivell0 Comments6 months ago

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1

Will the UK government reverse the 1.25% NI rise before the next election?

Nathan Young0 Comments6 months ago

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1

Nuke question

Nathan Young4 Comments6 months ago

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1

Will there be a pandemic before 2024?

Nathan Young7 Comments6 months ago

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1

Will there be a war with china before 2024

Nathan Young2 Comments6 months ago

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1

Will there be more than 100 casualties in a war between the US and China before 2030?

Nathan Young2 Comments6 months ago

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1

Will a plague sterilize >50% of the globe before 2050?

Jotto19 Comments6 months ago

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1

Will FTX go bankrupt by 2024?

Nathan Young3 Comments6 months ago

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1

Conservative government Weed

Nathan Young5 Comments6 months ago

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1

Will there be a war between the US and China

Nathan Young0 Comments6 months ago

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1

Will there be a war between the Russia and NATO

Nathan Young0 Comments6 months ago

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1

Will there be a >75% effective malaria vaccine before July 2024?

Nathan Young1 Comments6 months ago

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1

Bio Lab incidents

Nathan Young0 Comments6 months ago

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1

AI watch and explain film

Nathan Young2 Comments6 months ago

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1

Will Ukranian forces gather on the border of Crimea or enter Crimea?

Nathan Young0 Comments6 months ago

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1

Will Vercel fork the React codebase in 2023?

Joe Reeve1 Comments4 months ago

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1

Will The US Send More Than $25 Billion For Security Assistance To Ukraine In 2023?

Serene Desiree0 Comments2 months ago

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1

Will Ukraine And Russia Agree to a Nuclear Safety and Security Protection Zone Around the Zaporizhzhya Nuclear Power Plant By May 1, 2023?

Serene Desiree0 Commentsabout 2 months ago

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0

Will the UK move to NGDP targeting?

Nathan Young7 Comments7 months ago

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0

SF housebuilding

Nathan Young8 Comments7 months ago

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0

A test question for the Loom video

Joe Reeve7 Comments7 months ago

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0

Will this product launch in one week?

Emerson Spartz2 Comments7 months ago

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0

Will Putin still be President of Russia by 2023

Nathan Young27 Comments7 months ago

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0

Will a nuclear or radiological accident according to the IAEA occur before 2023?

Nathan Young3 Comments7 months ago

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0

Will aUSD's price be above $0.98 at 0:00(UTC) on Jan 1st?

Bob1 Comments7 months ago

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0

Next big basketball event

Nathan Young1 Comments7 months ago

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0

What will be the price of Ethereum in USD after the Ethereum Merge? On 16th 19:00 UTC

Nathan Young0 Comments7 months ago

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0

Will China invade Taiwan before 2024?

Nathan Young26 Comments7 months ago

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0

Who will win WBNA?

Nathan Young2 Comments7 months ago

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0

Will De Kwon get arrested before 2023?

Nathan Young5 Comments7 months ago

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0

If London builds more than [X houses] what will happen to UK GDP by 2030

Nathan Young20 Comments7 months ago

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0

Uraine is more than slightly in control of crimea, by 2024?

Nathan Young3 Comments7 months ago

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0

Ukarine is almost totally in control of Crimea, by 2024?

Nathan Young1 Comments7 months ago

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0

What will U.S. GDP be in calendar year 2024 if the democrats maintain control of the senate

John Clark8 Comments6 months ago

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0

How many Supreme Court Justices will have been appointed by a Democratic president by 2025, if Democrats maintain control the senate?

Nathan Young33 Comments6 months ago

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0

If Liz Truss lifts fracking Ban, how many tremors will there be before 2024?

Nathan Young1 Comments6 months ago

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0

How will House and Senate control affect Pandemic Prevention spending by the end of Biden's term?

Nathan Young2 Comments6 months ago

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0

Will a major newspaper or substack reference a Zeitgeist market as an information source before 2023?

AaronL1 Comments6 months ago

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0

Midterms US GDP

Nathan Young0 Comments6 months ago

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0

Will the UK deregulate insurance before the next election?

Nathan Young2 Comments6 months ago

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0

The the UK deregulate the City before the next election?

AaronL2 Comments6 months ago

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0

UK commonwealth trade deals

AaronL0 Comments6 months ago

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0

UK G7 trade deal

AaronL0 Comments6 months ago

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0

Civil Service size before next election

AaronL0 Comments6 months ago

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0

Free schools before the next election

AaronL0 Comments6 months ago

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0

Will Russia subject all male citizens to conscription before November '22?

Nathan Young0 Comments6 months ago

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0

Will Russia restrict military eligible citizens from leaving before March 2023?

Jonathan Nankivell7 Comments6 months ago

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0

Will Starship do an orbit and land intact before July 2023?

Nathan Young1 Comments6 months ago

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0

Conditional question. Inflation and FED rates

Nathan Young0 Comments6 months ago

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0

Will the mini budget pass?

Nathan Young1 Comments6 months ago

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0

Will doubtful become a huge success by 2022

Sam Stephenson 7 Comments6 months ago

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0

Will the UK Government have spent more than £50 Bn (inflation-adjusted from sep 22) capping electricity bills by the next election?

Nathan Young0 Comments6 months ago

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0

Will UK business rates be replaced in significant part by Land Value Tax before the next election?

Nathan Young0 Comments6 months ago

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0

Nuke in europe

Nathan Young0 Comments6 months ago

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0

Something about

Nathan Young0 Comments6 months ago

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0

If Belgorod falls to Ukraine before 2024, will Russia detonate a nuke in anger

Evan Harper7 Comments6 months ago

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0

Will a plague sterilize >10% of the globe before 2050?

Jotto2 Comments6 months ago

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0

Something about inflation

Nathan Young0 Comments6 months ago

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0

Cargo

Nathan Young0 Comments6 months ago

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0

Will GiveWell fund Mass distribution of azithromycin to reduce child mortality by 1st January 2027?

Josh Hart14 Comments6 months ago

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0

Will GiveWell fund probiotic supplementation for preterm newborns by 1st January 2027?

Josh Hart1 Comments6 months ago

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0

Will GiveWell fund Sayana® Press by 1st January 2027?

Josh Hart1 Comments6 months ago

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0

Will GiveWell fund SMS reminders for immunization by 1st January 2027?

Josh Hart1 Comments6 months ago

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0

Will GiveWell fund Attractive toxic sugar baits for malaria control by 1st January 2027?

Josh Hart1 Comments6 months ago

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0

Will GiveWell fund Community health promoters as run by Living Goods by 1st January 2027?

Josh Hart1 Comments6 months ago

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0

Will GiveWell fund Community salt substitution by 1st January 2027?

Josh Hart1 Comments6 months ago

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0

Will GiveWell fund Eave tubes to control malaria by 1st January 2027?

Josh Hart1 Comments6 months ago

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0

Will GiveWell fund Educate! Experience program by 1st January 2027?

Josh Hart1 Comments6 months ago

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0

Will GiveWell fund Electronic partogram by 1st January 2027?

Josh Hart3 Comments6 months ago

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0

Will GiveWell fund HPV vaccination to prevent cervical cancer by 1st January 2027?

Josh Hart1 Comments6 months ago

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0

Will GiveWell fund Post-discharge malaria chemoprevention (PMC) for children with severe anemia by 1st January 2027?

Josh Hart2 Comments6 months ago

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0

Will GiveWell fund Vouchers for water treatment by 1st January 2027?

Josh Hart1 Comments6 months ago

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0

If one more nukes are launched before 2030, which countries will launch them?

Nathan Young2 Comments5 months ago

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0

Will Russia launch nuclear weapons?

Sarah Cone1 Comments5 months ago

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0

Test foir Nathan

Josh Hart7 Comments5 months ago

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0

Will GiveWell fund Chlorhexidine for umbilical cord care by 1st January 2027?

Josh Hart19 Comments5 months ago

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0

Will GiveWell fund Community-based intervention packages to reduce maternal and neonatal mortality by 1st January 2027?

Josh Hart4 Comments5 months ago

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0

Will GiveWell fund Eyeglasses to improve workers' manual dexterity by 1st January 2027?

Josh Hart1 Comments5 months ago

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0

Microplastics

Nathan Young0 Comments5 months ago

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0

Labour lead under different Tory Leaders Feb 2023

Nathan Young1 Comments5 months ago

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0

Will Alive and Thrive’s packages of intervention lead to change in maternity-focussed policy within the countries in which A&T operate?

Josh Hart1 Comments5 months ago

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0

Will GiveWell fund Intermittent preventive treatment in infants (IPTi) for malaria by 1st January 2027?

Josh Hart1 Comments5 months ago

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0

Will the East African Federation be established by 2030?

Josh Hart1 Comments5 months ago

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0

Will the Triple Lock still be in place by the next election?

Nathan Young0 Comments5 months ago

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0

Will The Joe Rogan Experience Podcast Reach Episode 2,120 By Jan 1st, 2024?

Serene Desiree0 Comments5 months ago

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0

Will George R.R. Martin Publish the Next Book in the 'Song of Ice and Fire' Series Before He Dies?

Serene Desiree1 Comments5 months ago

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0

Will The Australian GDP of 2022-2023 Be Above 1.5 Trillion?

Serene Desiree0 Comments5 months ago

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0

Which Party Will Win the Next Australian Federal Election

Serene Desiree0 Comments5 months ago

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0

Will Fully Automated Cars Be Publicly Available By 2028?

Serene Desiree0 Comments5 months ago

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0

Will Twitter suffer a major outage before 2023?

Nathan Young4 Comments5 months ago

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0

Will twitter report more than 35 million monthly active users in Q4 2022?

Nathan Young0 Comments5 months ago

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0

Will Twitter report

Nathan Young0 Comments5 months ago

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0

Will Nuclear Weapons Be Present in South Korea By 2025?

Serene Desiree0 Comments5 months ago

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0

Will The US Announce Hypersonic Missile Interceptor By The End Of 2025?

Serene Desiree0 Comments5 months ago

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0

Will the WHO declare a Public Health Emergency of International Concern before 2024?

Nathan Young0 Comments5 months ago

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0

Will an Omicron booster be sold in the UK, at what price and how many total sales will there be before July 2023?

Nathan Young0 Comments5 months ago

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0

Will Elon Musk go back on a Twitter poll related to Twitter before Feb 2023?

Nathan Young0 Comments4 months ago

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0

Will a single billionaire or government give more than $500mm to GiveDirectly before 2024?

Nathan Young0 Comments4 months ago

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0

Will Lex Fridman be the next CEO of Twitter, for any period of time?

Nathan Young0 Comments3 months ago

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0

Will a 10th Come Into Possession of Nuclear Weapons by the end of 2023?

Serene Desiree0 Comments3 months ago

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0

Will The New Start Nuclear Disarmament Treaty Be Extended In 2026?

Serene Desiree0 Comments2 months ago

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-1

Will Mariia go on a day trip to Oxford?

Nathan Young2 Comments7 months ago

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-1

Will Zeitgeist have scalar conditional markets by 2023?

Nathan Young0 Comments7 months ago

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