Will China invade Taiwan before 2024? DRAFT
Oh oops, was just clicking around! I know the site is super alpha still, didn't mean to cause a change.
Was just skimming a bit in Google, for possible criteria-related tidbits.
This article I skim-read claims it would take a pretty big force, given how much the geography and conditions of Taiwan advantage the defender. https://thediplomat.com/2021/05/why-a-taiwan-invasion-would-look-nothing-like-d-day/
E.g. an invasion (if its intent was direct military conquest) would probably involve more than 1,000 ships, possibly much more. I only had a minute to look into this, but the number of ships mobilized would probably be well-covered by media reports, since it's visible from space and airplaces. So maybe part of the criteria could be about the number of ships mobilized.
Worth putting greater context on this? Could be interesting and informative to provide information on growing tensions and possible reasons as to why the question of whether China will invade Taiwan before 2024 is a question growing in relevance?